the art of anticipation


the rise of prediction as a paradigm for analysis and governance is one of the key challenges across Europe’s societies.

interest in prediction continues to grow as predictive analytics informs resource allocation and improves planning across private and public sectors (predictive logistics, predictive maintenance, predictive policing).

as such systems mature far beyond the capacities ascribed to them in an earlier generation of foresight research, their power (as ubiquitous systems) expands to encompass the prediction of human behavior more generally.

if we want to rely on autonomous systems that can learn, we need to know much more about how to build institutions and organizations that learn.

otherwise, machine intelligence will not fully benefit human intelligence in key areas of life and labor.